Six Predictions for 2026 the Models Won’t Like

Six Predictions for 2026 the Models Won’t Like

Models are useful tools. They simplify complex systems, quantify trade-offs, and provide decision-makers with concrete arguments to support their decisions. But models also share a weakness: they assume cooperation from reality. In energy, electrification, and climate...
DOWZH, Kickoffs, and the Art of Ruining Things

DOWZH, Kickoffs, and the Art of Ruining Things

My annual predictions are always popular with Rant readers. One reason may be that I go off-road and provide an eclectic and bold set of predictions, some of which have very low odds. In 2025, I went from the baby balance bike to training wheels on the artificial...
Case Studies In Bad Energy Policy

Case Studies In Bad Energy Policy

Shortly after the Russia-Ukraine war kicked off, I quoted a panelist from the Wisconsin Public Utilities Institute. He said, “Watch what the Germans do and do the opposite.” My quote referred to the war, but the WPUI gentleman was discussing energy policy....